• Judy Tay

The GE2020 Report Card: An Analysis Based On Two Elections


Credit: Mediacorp Singapore


The Singapore General Elections 2020 has finally concluded late into the night - or rather, pre-dawn - on 11 July. This election has been abuzz for several reasons: Firstly, it is the first election in Singapore's history to take place in the eye of a global crisis; and secondly, for the many twists and turns throughout.


We are not for, or against any parties for that matter, but since there are so many views floating around the social media space, we decided to analyse them to generate a GE2020 Report Card*** for some of the hottest SMCs and GRCs, as well as the highlights of these political fight:


*We will be using percentage change instead of the difference in the numbers for difference calculation. The performance markers are Effort, which measures the visibility of various parties' outreach; Luck, which measures how unexpected the results turned out; and Trust-o-meter, which measures how favourably the public perceives each candidate.


**Not a professional analysis.


Bukit Batok

While some may think that having an independent candidate may dilute votes, this doesn't seem to be the case in 2015 since that candidate only garnered 150 votes. Overall in 2020, it does seem that the swing for SDP is huge, as can also be seen based off support seen on social media platforms.


What's different this GE: Dr Chee Soon Juan seemed to have taken a softer approach this time round, with a bigger focus on youngsters with examples seen on Preetipls's interview with Dr Chee, as well as ours!

But sorry, who was the PAP candidate again?


Report Card for SDP

Effort: 8.5/10

Luck: 2/10

Trust-o-meter: 4.5/10


Report Card for PAP

Effort: 6.5/10

Luck: 8/10

Trust-o-meter: 7/10


Bukit Panjang

Like its Bukit neighbour, this SMC was also one of the more closely-watched ones this GE. Following incumbent MP Teo Ho Pin's retirement from politics, MP Liang Eng Hwa took over to contest in this SMC. Previously from Holland-Bukit Timah GRC, Mr Liang has enjoyed generally positive support over the years. Paul Tamyah from SDP, however, hogged significant media limelight for this rebuttal against the Covid-19 response by the government. This led to a mounting group of supporters seen on social media in the days leading up to the elections.


Report Card for SDP

Effort: 7.5/10

Luck: 4/10

Trust-o-meter: 4.5/10


Report Card for PAP

Effort: 6.5/10

Luck: 6/10

Trust-o-meter: 6/10


Marymount

Since Marymount SMC was only formed this year, there is no data for direct comparison. Thus, we will use Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC as a ballpark as Marymount SMC used to be part of this constituency. All in all across both Marymount SMC and Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC, there seem to be a pretty visible dip in support for the ruling party - this is even more surprising as PAP in Marymount SMC achieved below 60%, which to us seem to indicate a 'just pass' score. There are 3 highlights in both Marymount and Bishan-Toa Payoh this year: The absence of MP Josephine Teo who went to Jalan Besar GRC, the introduction of Singapore's first female general Gan Siow Huang and the participation of a new opposition party, PSP. It seems like all these may have contributed to the somewhat lacklustre performance of the PAP in Marymount SMC.


Report Card for PSP

Effort: 6/10

Luck: 7/10

Trust-o-meter: 7/10


Report Card for PAP

Effort: 9/10 (Did you see the war cry by Ms Gan? How passionate!)

Luck: 4/10

Trust-o-meter: 5/10


Aljunied

With a margin of less than 2% in the last GE in 2015, Aljunied GRC underwent a nail-biting recount and Workers' Party emerged victorious twice in a row. This time, it comes as no surprise as the WP retains their constituency. What's interesting is once again, the decreasing support for PAP.


Report Card for WP

Effort: 9/10

Luck: 5/10

Trust-o-meter: 9/10


Report Card for PAP

Effort: 4/10

Luck: 4/10

Trust-o-meter: 4/10


East Coast

DPM Heng Swee Keat made the surprise move to contest in East Coast GRC from Tampines GRC where he had been for years. He also unveiled an 'East Coast Plan' but faced issues expressing what the plan was actually about. This led to an explosion of memes which also made international news. During the course of campaigning, DPM Heng was also the subject of several police reports, though he was not charged in the end.


Report Card for WP

Effort: 6.5/10

Luck: 7/10

Trust-o-meter: 7.5/10

Report Card for PAP

Effort: 9/10

Luck: 3/10

Trust-o-meter: 5/10


Sengkang

As Sengkang GRC is a new constituency formed in 2020 pieced together from various SMCs and parts of the Pasir-Punggol GRC, we shall not use any GE2015 data in case it becomes more confusing. While taking bits from other puzzles to make up this new puzzle named Sengkang GRC, it seems that the government has succeeded in creating a pro-alternative constituency. Mainstream media coined it the 'Jamus Effect' - but we don't agree. Our Jamus merely gave a kick-ass performance during the debate which warmed the cockles of many hearts. Good performance should be called as such and not sheltered under a superficial term. And then there's the backlash caused by the investigation of MP Raeesah Khan.


Report Card for WP

Effort: 9.5/10

Luck: 10/10

Trust-o-meter: 6/10


Report Card for PAP

Effort: 3/10

Luck: 0/10

Trust-o-meter: 5/10


West Coast

With Dr Tan Cheng Bock himself helming the fight in West Coast GRC, it comes as no surprise that support was rampant for the alternative party this time round. Dr Tan made social media fame for his #hypebeast comments and posts, gaining the favour of many younger voters. Perhaps the addition of Lee Hsien Yang, the brother of PM Lee helped split the voters into two grounds - for and against, leading to the strong support we see here.


Report Card for PSP

Effort: 8/10

Luck: 7/10

Trust-o-meter: 7/10


Report Card for PAP

Effort: 5/10

Luck: 5/10

Trust-o-meter: 7/10


Overall, we think that alternative parties made much headway this GE, especially on social media. Some strategies may have backfired, while some may have worked better than expected. Nonetheless, all parties worked hard and with a common goal to make Singapore a better place. So without further ado, here are the imaginary Post-GE Awards we decided to give out:


Most Viral Person Award: Dr Tan Cheng Bock, PSP
Mr. Charmest Award: Dr Jamus Jarome Lim, WP
Most Outstanding New Person Award: Raeesah Khan, WP
Most Improved Person Award: Dr Chee Soon Juan, SDP
Tongue Twister Award: DPM Heng Swee Keat, PAP
Best Effort Award (Mother Tongue): Charles Yeo, RP
Comeback Award: Ivan Lim, PA.... wait, what? He not inside what?

Note: Numbers on electors, results and party percentages are retrieved from the Elections Department Singapore's website.


Do you agree with our Report Card? Share your thoughts on the #GE2020sg with us via our Facebook and Instagram pages!

#centralsingapore #northernsingapore #southernsingapore #easternsingapore #westernsingapore #lifestyle

0 views

Get fun delivered!

​Keep up with our stories by signing up for our newsletter

About Spotted! Media

Other Sections

  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • TikTok

As the #1 digital platform for happenings in Singapore, Spotted! Media brings you the latest local trends and spots, right to your fingertips!

Copyright © 2020 Spotted! Media (subsidiary of One Eighty Concepts Pte Ltd). All rights reserved.